Thoughts on Healthcare Markets and Technology

Thoughts on Healthcare Markets and Technology

ACKMAN’S HEALTHCARE PLAYS: WHAT ACTIVIST INVESTORS TEACH US ABOUT SYSTEM DYSFUNCTION

Trey Rawles's avatar
Trey Rawles
Nov 18, 2025
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DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this essay are solely my own and do not reflect the views, opinions, or positions of my employer, Datavant, or any of its affiliates.


If you are interested in joining my generalist healthcare angel syndicate, reach out to treyrawles@gmail.com or send me a DM. Accredited investors only.


TABLE OF CONTENTS

Abstract

Introduction: The Activist as Diagnostic Tool

The Valeant Disaster: A Masterclass in What Not to Do

The Herbalife War and Healthcare Adjacent Plays

What Ackman Actually Understands About Healthcare Markets

The Pharma Pricing Thesis and Why It Matters for Startups

Insurance Market Dynamics Through an Activist Lens

The COVID Testing Play and Public Health Infrastructure

What Health Tech Investors Can Learn from Activist Failures

Conclusion: The Limits of Financial Engineering in Healthcare

ABSTRACT

Bill Ackman’s healthcare investments offer a unique lens into both the opportunities and limitations of applying traditional financial activism to healthcare markets. From the catastrophic Valeant partnership to more successful plays in insurance and COVID testing, Ackman’s track record reveals fundamental truths about healthcare market dynamics that matter for early-stage investors. His advocacy for drug pricing reform and insurance market transparency stems directly from painful lessons about how healthcare companies create and destroy value differently than other sectors. This essay examines Ackman’s major healthcare positions, his public statements on reform, and what his experiences teach us about building defensible healthcare businesses. For health tech angels, the key insight is that Ackman’s failures came from treating healthcare like any other industry while his successes came from understanding its unique structural constraints. The businesses that survive activist scrutiny and regulatory pressure are the ones solving real inefficiencies rather than exploiting information asymmetries or regulatory capture.

Introduction: The Activist as Diagnostic Tool

Here’s something most people don’t think about when they’re watching billionaire hedge fund managers fight each other on CNBC: activist investors are essentially doing free market research for the rest of us. When someone like Bill Ackman takes a massive position in a company and then spends months or years publicly articulating everything wrong with that company’s business model, strategy, or market position, they’re building a detailed thesis based on access to information and analytical resources that most early-stage investors can’t match. And when they’re catastrophically wrong about something, that’s even more valuable information.

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