Thoughts on Healthcare Markets and Technology

Thoughts on Healthcare Markets and Technology

Quantum tech meets healthcare: Why angel investors should pay attention now

Trey Rawles's avatar
Trey Rawles
Dec 12, 2025
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DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this essay are solely my own and do not reflect the positions, strategies, or opinions of my employer or any organization I am affiliated with.


NOTE: If you are interested in joining my generalist healthcare angel syndicate, reach out to trey@onhealthcare.tech or send me a DM. Accredited investors only.


TABLE OF CONTENTS

Abstract

Introduction: Why Quantum Now

The Three Quantum Pillars in Healthcare

- Quantum Computing: Beyond the Hype

- Quantum Sensing: The Sleeper Hit

- Quantum Communication: Security’s Next Frontier

Market Timing and Investment Thesis

Where the Money Is Actually Going

Commercial Readiness: What’s Real vs What’s Powerpoint

Risk Factors Nobody Talks About

Building a Portfolio Position

Conclusion: Conviction Without Delusion

ABSTRACT

Quantum technologies represent a genuine paradigm shift for healthcare, but the investment landscape requires careful navigation. This essay examines three quantum domains (computing, sensing, communication) through the lens of healthcare applications, with particular focus on commercial readiness timelines ranging from 0-2 years (sensing) to 10+ years (theoretical computing applications). Key findings include: quantum sensing applications in diagnostics and bioprocessing are commercially viable today with companies like Genetesis and Q.ANT showing real revenue; quantum computing for drug discovery remains 3-5 years from meaningful ROI despite significant pharma partnerships; quantum communication for healthcare data security offers compelling risk mitigation but faces adoption friction. The report synthesizes data from 40+ case studies, interviews with portfolio companies and quantum researchers, and analysis of $2B+ in recent quantum startup funding. For angel investors, the thesis centers on selective exposure through commercial-stage sensing companies, early positioning in quantum-classical hybrid computing platforms serving biopharma, and patient capital deployment in communication infrastructure. Risk factors include hardware maturity timelines, regulatory uncertainty, talent scarcity, and the potential for classical AI/HPC to solve problems before quantum advantage materializes.

Introduction: Why Quantum Now

Look, I get it. Another emerging tech category promising to revolutionize healthcare. We’ve all sat through the blockchain for medical records pitch, watched VR therapy companies burn through Series A cash, and heard about how this particular AI model will definitely solve prior auth this time. So when quantum computing shows up talking about simulating molecular interactions and revolutionizing drug discovery, the pattern-matching part of your brain should absolutely be screaming “wait and see.”

But here’s the thing. The quantum opportunity in healthcare is actually different, and the timing matters more than usual. Not because the technology suddenly got 10x better last quarter (though hardware IS improving faster than most people realize), but because three separate trends are converging in ways that create actual near-term commercial opportunities, not just science projects.

First, we’ve got quantum sensing technologies that are already commercially deployed and generating revenue. Not pilot programs, not “research use only” disclaimers, but actual FDA-track devices being used in clinical settings. Companies like Genetesis have their magnetocardiography platform in hospitals right now. This isn’t vaporware.

Second, the biopharma industry is desperately seeking any edge in R&D productivity, and they’re willing to pay real money to explore quantum approaches. When you’re looking at $2-3B to bring a drug to market and 90%+ failure rates in clinical trials, the calculus on experimental computational methods changes dramatically. Moderna isn’t partnering with IBM on quantum computing for PR. They’re doing it because their existing simulation tools hit fundamental limits when modeling complex molecular systems.

Third, and this is the piece most healthcare investors miss, quantum communication and post-quantum cryptography have become urgent priorities because of “harvest now, decrypt later” attacks. Healthcare organizations are sitting on data that will be valuable for 50+ years, and adversaries are already capturing encrypted traffic today with plans to decrypt it once quantum computers get powerful enough. This creates a forcing function for adoption that doesn’t depend on quantum hardware getting dramatically better. The threat is already real.

Now let me be clear about what this essay is NOT. This is not a quantum physics tutorial. If you want to understand why entanglement works or what a qubit actually is at the physics level, there are much better resources. This is also not a comprehensive market map of every quantum startup. What this IS is a practical framework for thinking about quantum investments in healthcare, with specific attention to what’s real vs what’s fundraising theater, and where angels can actually build differentiated positions.

The WEF report that came out recently does a solid job cataloging use cases and sorting them by maturity timeline. I’m going to build on that framework but focus specifically on the investment angle, including stuff like how to evaluate technical risk, what the talent market looks like, where incumbents have unassailable advantages vs where startups can win, and what kind of position sizing makes sense given the wide range of outcomes.

Let’s get into it.

The Three Quantum Pillars in Healthcare

The quantum ecosystem breaks down into three distinct technology domains, and you really need to understand each separately because they have completely different maturity curves, competitive dynamics, and paths to market.

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