Stress Testing the New Yale Medicare for All Preprint: Where the 114,174 Lives and $1.041 Trillion Actually Come From, and What All Payer Medicare Rates Would Do to Hospital and Physician Margins

A Yale preprint says Medicare for All saves $1.041 trillion/year and prevents 114,174 deaths. Those numbers are everywhere now. Here is what the model actually does and where the real uncertainty lives.

The method: start with $5.28 trillion in national health expenditure, subtract four big line items, report the remainder. Drug prices (-$377.5B), provide…